Counterfactual Thinking in People with and without Signs of Depression:

Contributions of Self-Report

Authors

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.15448/1980-8623.2025.1.47071

Keywords:

imaginative thinking, counterfactual thinking, depression, university students.

Abstract

The present study aimed to investigate the counterfactual thoughts of people with and without signs of depression, considering the structure, direction of change, target of change and lines of failure of reality. 145 university students participated, with an average age of 22.1 (SD = 4.84). The sample was divided into two groups, according to the scores in the Beck Depression Inventory: people without indications of depression and people with indications of depression. The materials used were the Beck Depression Inventory and a personal account of a negative or unexpected situation experienced in the last year. Participants with indications of depression described more reports referring to an emotional relationship, while participants without indications of depression described more reports related to academic situations. Participants with indications of depression tended to elaborate more counterfactual thoughts and the thoughts were mostly upward, addictive, self-referential and based on an action/inaction.

Downloads

Download data is not yet available.

Author Biographies

Juliana Sarantopoulos Faccioli , Federal University of São Carlos (UFSCar), São Carlos, São Paulo, Brazil.

Holds a degree in Psychology from the Federal University of São Carlos (2010), a master's degree in Psychology from the same university (2013), and a doctorate in Psychology from the same university. Has experience in the field of Psychology, with an emphasis on Perceptual and Cognitive Processes and Development, working mainly on the following topics: educational psychology, assessment techniques, counterfactual thinking, and imagination.

Patrícia Waltz Schelini, McGill University, Montreal, Quebec, Canada.

She holds a degree in Psychology from the Pontifical Catholic University of Campinas, a Master's degree in Psychology from the Pontifical Catholic University of Campinas (CNPq scholarship recipient), and a PhD in Psychology from the same university (FAPESP scholarship recipient). She completed a Post-Doctorate at the University of Minho (Portugal), under the supervision of Prof. Dr. Leandro da Silva Almeida. Currently, she is an Associate Professor 4 in the Department of Psychology at the Federal University of São Carlos, where she teaches undergraduate and graduate courses and conducts research on intelligence/cognition, metacognition, and imaginative thinking. She is a CNPq Productivity Fellow, was vice-coordinator and coordinator of the Research Working Group on Psychological Assessment of ANPEPP (2014-2018; 2019-2020), and is vice-coordinator of the Postgraduate Program in Psychology at UFSCar.

Anik Barham Setti , McGill University, Montreal, Quebec, Canada.

I hold a degree in Psychology from the Federal University of São Carlos (UFSCar). My undergraduate research focused on counterfactual thinking and its role in resolving interpersonal conflicts, and was supported by the São Paulo Research Foundation (FAPESP). During my undergraduate studies, I completed internships in language teaching, career counseling, parenting support, and university student support. I contributed to the organization of several scientific events and conducted outreach in the areas of public health and co-parenting. My research interests lie in health promotion, family, emotional regulation, and interpersonal conflict resolution.

Makilim Nunes Baptista , Pontifical Catholic University of Campinas (PUC-Campinas), Campinas, São Paulo, Brazil.

Holds a degree in Psychology from São Judas Tadeu University (1995), a master's degree in Psychology from the Pontifical Catholic University of Campinas (1997), a doctorate from the Department of Psychiatry and Medical Psychology at the Federal University of São Paulo (2001), and a post-doctorate from the University of Algarve (Portugal, 2022). Has over 25 years of clinical experience in Cognitive-Behavioral Psychotherapy. Currently a professor in the Stricto-Sensu Postgraduate Program in Psychology at the Pontifical Catholic University of Campinas (PUC-Campinas); President of the Brazilian Institute of Psychological Assessment - IBAP (2019-2021); Member of the Family Working Group of the Latin American Union of Psychology Entities (ULAPSI); Member of the World Network of Suicidologists. She has experience in the field of Psychology, with an emphasis on Psychological Assessment, Treatment, and Prevention.

Hugo Ferrari Cardoso, São Paulo State University (Unesp), Bauru, São Paulo, Brazil.

Holds a degree in Psychology (Bachelor's and Licentiate/2008 and Bachelor's/2009) from the Sacred Heart University; Postgraduate studies in Psychology with an emphasis on psychological assessment (Master's/2010; Doctorate/2013 and Post-doctorate/2015) from the São Francisco University. Currently, he is an Assistant Professor at the São Paulo State University "Júlio de Mesquita Filho" (UNESP) in the Psychology courses (Undergraduate and Postgraduate in Developmental and Learning Psychology - UNESP/FC); a CNPq research productivity fellow (PQ-Level 2); a member of the board of the Brazilian Institute of Psychological Assessment (IBAP - 2019-2021 and 2021-2023 terms) and a participant in the ANPEPP working group (GT Research in Psychological Assessment). Has experience in the field of Psychology, with an emphasis on the Construction and Validity of Tests, Scales and Other Psychological Measures, mainly working on the following topics: Psychological Assessment, Organizational and Work Psychology, and Career Guidance.

References

Allaert, J., De Raedt, R., Sanchez-Lopez, A., & Vanderhasselt, M. A. (2025). Counterfactual thinking is associated with impoverished attentional control in women prone to self-critical rumination. Journal of Behavior Therapy and Experimental Psychiatry, 87, 102017. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jbtep.2025.102017

American Psychiatric Association (2022). Diagnostic and Statistical Manual of Mental Disorders (5th ed., text revision). American Psychiatric Publishing.

Awo, L. O., Chukwuorji, J. C. & Ekwe, C. N. (2023). Counterfactual thoughts and regret intensity as correlates of depressive symptoms among polytechnic students in Nigeria. Current Psychology 42, 4254–4263. https://doi.org/10.1007/s12144-021-01756-x

Bardin, L. (2009). Análise de Conteúdo (5th ed). Editora 70.

Beck, A. T., Rush, A. J., Shaw, B. F., Emery, G., DeRubeis, R. J., & Hollon, S. D. (2024). Cognitive therapy of depression. Guilford Publications.

Beck, A. T., John, B. K. & Beck, J. (2021). The Development of Psychiatric Disorders from Adaptive Behavior to Serious Mental Health Conditions. Cognitive Therapy Research, 45, 385–390. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10608-021-10227-3

Broomhall, A. G.; Phillips, W. J.; Hine D. W. & Loi N. M. (2017). Upward counterfactual thinking and depression: A meta-analysis. Clinical Psychology Review, 55, 56–73. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.cpr.2017.04.010

Broomhall, A. G., Phillips, W. J. (2024). Upward counterfactual thinking and state depression: investigating a causal relationship. Current Psychology 43, 486–501. https://doi.org/10.1007/s12144-023-04280-2

Byrne, R. M. J. (2016). Counterfactual Thought. Annual Review Of Psychology, 67, 135–157. https://doi.org/10.1146/annurev-psych-122414-033249

Collins, A. C., & Winer, E. S. (2023). Self-Referential Processing and Depression: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis. Clinical Psychological Science, 12(4), 721–750. https://doi.org/10.1177/21677026231190390

De Brigard, F. (2022). Counterfactual Thinking. In: Glăveanu, V.P. (eds) The Palgrave Encyclopedia of the Possible. Palgrave Macmillan, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-90913-0_43

Ezawa, I. D., & Hollon, S. D. (2023). Cognitive restructuring and psychotherapy outcome: A meta-analytic review. Psychotherapy, 60(3), 396. https://doi.org/10.1037/pst0000474

Faccioli, J. S. (2017). Effects of thinking about the past: counterfactual thinking in undergraduates with and without signs of depression (Doctorate Thesis). Postgraduate Program in Psychology, Federal Universirty of São Carlos, São Carlos, São Paulo. https://repositorio.ufscar.br/handle/ufscar/9393.

Faccioli, J. S., & Schelini, P. W. (2015). Styles of Counterfactual Thoughts in People with and without Signs of Depression. The Spanish Journal of Psychology, 18, 1–11. http://doi.org/10.1017/sjp.2015.51

Faustino, B. (2025). Introducing Dialectical Core Schemas Theory through Mediation Models. Journal of Rational-Emotive Cognitive-Behavior Therapy, 43, 8. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10942-024-00569-8

Feng, X., Gu, R., Liang, F., Broster L. S., Liu, Y., Zhang, D., & Luo, Y. (2015). Depressive states amplify both upward and downward counterfactual thinking. International Journal of Psychophysiology, 97, 93–98. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.ijpsycho.2015.04.016

Gambetti, E., Zucchelli, M. M., & Nori, R. (2024). Individual differences and counterfactual thinking. Journal of Cognitive Psychology, 36(7), 867–879. https://doi.org/10.1080/20445911.2024.2398787

Gorenstein, C., Andrade, L. H., & Wang, Y. P. (2012). Manual do Inventário de Depressão de Beck (BDI-II). Casa do Psicólogo.

Guidotti, R. (2024). Counterfactual explanations and how to find them: literature review and benchmarking. Data Mining and Knowlegment Discovery, 38, 2770–2824. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10618-022-00831-6

Horgos, P. (2025). Rewriting Reality: Cognitive and Affective Relationships of Counterfactual Thought. RANGE: Undergraduate Research Journal. https://uen.pressbooks.pub/range26i1/chapter/horgos/

Huang, L., Xie, Y. & Chen, X. (2021) A Review of Functions of Speculative Thinking. Frontiers in Psychology, 12, 728946. http://doi.org/10.3389/fpsyg.2021.728946

Huang, S., Faul, L., Parikh, N., Labar, K. S., & De Brigard, F. (2024). Counterfactual thinking induces different neural patterns of memory modification in anxious individuals. Scientific Reports 4(10630), 1–15. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-024-61545-x

Lalk, C., Steinbrenner, T., Pena, J. S., Kania, W., Schaffrath, J., Eberhardt, S., Schwartz, B., Lutz, W. & Rubel, J. (2025). Depression Symptoms are Associated with Frequency of Cognitive Distortions in Psychotherapy Transcripts. Cognitive Therapy Research, 49, 588–600. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10608-024-10542-5

Manika, L. G. B., Schnaider, L. L. B. C., & Silva, D. da. (2024). Da infância à adolescência: explorando a crise existencial da transição. Revista Ibero-Americana de Humanidades, Ciências E Educação, 10(11), 7480–7501. https://doi.org/10.51891/rease.v10i11.17143

Moulds, M. L., & McEvoy, P. M. (2025). Repetitive negative thinking as a transdiagnostic cognitive process. Nature Reviews Psychology, 4, 127–14. https://doi.org/10.1038/s44159-024-00399-6

Roese, N. J., & Epstude, K. (2017). The Functional Theory of Counterfactual Thinking : New Evidence, New Challenges, New Insights. Advances in Experimental Social Psychology (1st ed., Vol. 56). Elsevier Inc. https://doi.org/10.1016/bs.aesp.2017.02.001

Roldán-Espínola, L., Riera-Serra, P., Roca, M., et. Al. (2024). Depression and lifestyle among university students: A one-year follow-up study. The European Journal of Psychiatry, 38(3). https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ejpsy.2024.100250

Schumacher, A., Campisi, S. C., Khalfan, A. F., Merriman, K., Williams, T. S., & Korczak, D. J. (2024). Cognitive functioning in children and adolescents with depression: A systematic review and meta-analysis. European Neuropsychopharmacology, 79, 49–58. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.euroneuro.2023.11.005

Tagini, S., Solca, F., Torre, S., Brugnera, A., Ciammola, A., Mazzocco, K., Ferrucci, R., Silani, V., Pravettoni, G. & Poletti, B. (2021). Counterfactual thinking in psychiatric and neurological diseases: A scoping review. PLoS One, 16(2), e0246388. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0246388

Woltin, K. A., & Epstude, K. (2023). Should I have been more careful or less careless? The comparative nature of counterfactual thoughts alters judgments of their impact. Cognition, 235. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.cognition.2023.105402

Downloads

Published

2025-12-19

How to Cite

Sarantopoulos Faccioli , J., Waltz Schelini, P., Barham Setti , A., Nunes Baptista , M., & Ferrari Cardoso, H. (2025). Counterfactual Thinking in People with and without Signs of Depression: : Contributions of Self-Report. Psico, 56(1), e47071. https://doi.org/10.15448/1980-8623.2025.1.47071

Issue

Section

Psychological Assessment