Instituições deliberadas ou espontâneas?
Abstract
O artigo discute se é razoável admitir que boas instituições sociais possam emergir muitas vezes de processos espontâneos e cegos de seleção evolutiva. Para examinar a lógica que sustenta essa tese, é construído um jogo evolucionário, cuja solução vem a ser a emergência eventual de uma convenção coordenadora. Nesse jogo populacional e descentralizado, os agentes individuais participam de jogos de coordenação bilaterais, procurando otimizar localmente. O modelo resultante, do ponto de vista matemático, vem a ser espacialmente dinâmico e estocástico. Por isso, as evoluções possíveis do modelo são estudadas por simulação. Também são feitas considerações de ordem metodológica sobre o funcionalismo na interpretação dos resultados. O artigo sustenta uma tese contrária à idéia de ordem espontânea.
Palavras-chave: Ordem espontânea. Instituições deliberadas. Jogo evolucionário. Jogo de coordenação. Modelo dinâmico estocástico. Funcionalismo.
Abstract
The paper deals with the following question: is it reasonable to accept that many good social institutions emerge in a spontaneous way by means of blind evolutionary selection processes? In order to examine the logic that support this thesis, an evolutionary game is constructed that requires the eventual emergence of a coordinating convention as a solution. In this population and decentralized game, agents play coordination bilateral games, looking for local optimization. The constructed model, from a mathematical point of view, is a stochastic and spatial dynamic model. In consequence, the possible model evolutions are studied by means of simulations. Methodological considerations about functionalism are done in the interpretation of the results. The papers support a thesis against the idea of a spontaneous order.
Key words: Spontaneous order. Institutions by design. Evolutionary game. Coordination game. Dynamic and stochastic model. Functionalism.
JEL Classification: D02 – Institutions: Design, Formation, and Operations. P11 – Planning, Coordination, and Reform.
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